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Joshua Jones

activity described here satisfies Common Core State Standard CCSS.MATH.CONTENT.HSS.CP.A.5, which states that high school students are expected to “recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability in everyday situations" ( NGA Center and CCSSO

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Todd D. CadwalladerOlsker

Bayes's theorem is notorious for being a difficult topic to learn and to teach. Problems involving Bayes's theorem (either implicitly or explicitly) generally involve calculations based on two or more given probabilities and their complements. Further, a correct solution depends on students' ability to interpret the problem correctly. Shaughnessy (1992) has commented, “There is a good deal of cognitive strain involved in reading the problem and keeping everything straight; it is difficult for students to interpret exactly what they are being asked to do” (p. 471).

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A set of problems of many types